Bryce Harper major league equivalencies

This is just for fun. I ran across a site (http://www.minorleaguesplits.com/mlecalc.html by Jeff Sackmann) that features a calculator for major league equivalencies. I recommend treating these with caution—with essentially no players transitioning directly from low Class A to MLB, we really can’t test whether the translations are accurate. Also, the site doesn’t include any 2011 data, so it’s probably out of date. Nevertheless, I love looking at MLEs, so this still seemed like a fun calculation.

I fed the calculator the following actual data for Bryce Harper from his play with Hagerstown (South Atlantic League) through June 9:

206 AB, 40 R, 70 H, 14 2B, 0 3B, 14 HR, 43 RBI, 33 BB, 49 K, .340, .433, .612, 12 SB, 5 CS

Here’s what the calculator says his stats would be if he were with the Nats:

221 AB, 21 R, 50 H, 9 2B, 0 3B, 7 HR, 23 RBI, 18 BB, 58 K, .226, .283, .368, 8 SB, 6 CS

For the fans who are calling on the Nats to bring up Harper right away, these numbers should be sobering. There’s a huge talent gulf between low-A ball and the big leagues.

I think the MLEs will get to be more interesting when Harper makes it to Double A. In the meantime, though, I’ll try to update these occasionally as he progresses through the low minors.